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Stop-loss and Leverage in optimal Statistical Arbitrage with an application to Energy market

机译:最优统计套利中的止损和杠杆效应   应用于能源市场

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摘要

In this paper we develop a statistical arbitrage trading strategy with twokey elements in hi-frequency trading: stop-loss and leverage. We consider, asin Bertram (2009), a mean-reverting process for the security price withproportional transaction costs; we show how to introduce stop-loss and leveragein an optimal trading strategy. We focus on repeated strategies using a self-financing portfolio. For everygiven stop-loss level we derive analytically the optimal investment strategyconsisting of optimal leverage and market entry/exit levels. First we show that the optimal strategy a' la Bertram depends on theprobabilities to reach entry/exit levels, on expected First-Passage-Times andon expected First-Exit-Times from an interval. Then, when the underlyinglog-price follows an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, we deduce analyticalexpressions for expected First-Exit-Times and we derive the long-run return ofthe strategy as an elementary function of the stop-loss. Following industry practice of pairs trading we consider an example of pairin the energy futures' market, reporting in detail the analysis for a spread onHeating-Oil and Gas-Oil futures in one year sample of half-an-hour marketprices.
机译:在本文中,我们开发了一种统计套利交易策略,其中包含高频交易中的两个关键要素:止损和杠杆。正如Bertram(2009)所述,我们认为证券价格的均值恢复过程与交易成本成正比。我们展示了如何在最佳交易策略中引入止损和杠杆。我们专注于使用自负盈亏投资组合的重复策略。对于每个给定的止损水平,我们通过分析得出由最佳杠杆和市场进入/退出水平组成的最佳投资策略。首先,我们证明了最佳策略a'la Bertram取决于达到入/出水平的概率,预期的首次通过时间和间隔中预期的首次通过时间。然后,当基础对数价格遵循Ornstein-Uhlenbeck过程时,我们推导出预期的首次退出时间的分析表达式,然后得出该策略的长期收益作为止损的基本函数。遵循配对交易的行业惯例,我们以能源期货市场中的配对为例,详细报告了半年半市场价格样本中加热油和汽油期货的价差分析。

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